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PREGAME · ESPN2 · PLASTER SPORTS COMPLEX
Sam Houston
1-6 · +6.5
Missouri State
2-5 · −6.5
KICKOFF IN84:28:068:00 PM ET · ESPN2 · Plaster Sports Complex
Spread · now
MOST −6.5
Model
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Win prob
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Total
51.5
At kickoff
68°3 mph SSE · 0% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The Sam Houston pass defense vs Missouri State's passing game

    Missouri State gains +0.12 EPA a play on the pass (68th); Sam Houston allows −0.03 (11th). About 38 such plays projected.

    SHSU +8.1MODEL IMPACT

  2. The Missouri State run defense vs Sam Houston's run game

    Sam Houston gains −0.08 EPA a play on the run (135th); Missouri State allows +0.12 (103rd). About 26 such plays projected.

    MOST +3.5MODEL IMPACT

  3. Missouri State's run game vs the Sam Houston run defense

    Missouri State gains +0.07 EPA a play on the run (70th); Sam Houston allows +0.10 (89th). About 30 such plays projected.

    MOST +1.6MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total up to 51.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 50.5 → 51.5 · 1 books
  2. Total up to 50.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 49.5 → 50.5 · 1 books
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