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PREGAME · CBSSN · JOHNNY "RED" FLOYD STADIUM
Kennesaw State
1-6 · +3.5
Middle Tennessee
4-3 · −3.5
KICKOFF IN107:28:337:00 PM ET · CBSSN · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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MTSU −3.5
Model
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Win prob
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Total
50.5
At kickoff
71°5 mph S · 1% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The Middle Tennessee pass defense vs Kennesaw State's passing game

    Kennesaw State gains +0.04 EPA a play on the pass (107th); Middle Tennessee allows +0.16 (97th). About 36 such plays projected.

    MTSU +1.6MODEL IMPACT

  2. Kennesaw State's run game vs the Middle Tennessee run defense

    Kennesaw State gains −0.01 EPA a play on the run (121st); Middle Tennessee allows +0.17 (130th). About 32 such plays projected.

    KENN +1.1MODEL IMPACT

  3. Middle Tennessee's passing game vs the Kennesaw State pass defense

    Middle Tennessee gains +0.04 EPA a play on the pass (103rd); Kennesaw State allows +0.21 (112th). About 38 such plays projected.

    MTSU +1.0MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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