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PREGAME · ESPN2 · AGGIE MEMORIAL STADIUM
Jacksonville State
5-2 · −2.5
New Mexico State
3-4 · +2.5
KICKOFF IN107:48:178:00 PM ET · ESPN2 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Spread · now
JXST −2.5▼ 1 · THU 2:09P
Model
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Win prob
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Total
49.5
At kickoff
73°1 mph SSE · 8% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The Jacksonville State pass defense vs New Mexico State's passing game

    New Mexico State gains −0.02 EPA a play on the pass (122nd); Jacksonville State allows +0.13 (79th). About 35 such plays projected.

    JXST +6.1MODEL IMPACT
  2. Jacksonville State's passing game vs the New Mexico State pass defense

    Jacksonville State gains +0.25 EPA a play on the pass (19th); New Mexico State allows +0.08 (51st). About 32 such plays projected.

    JXST +4.5MODEL IMPACT
  3. The New Mexico State run defense vs Jacksonville State's run game

    Jacksonville State gains +0.01 EPA a play on the run (109th); New Mexico State allows +0.06 (66th). About 36 such plays projected.

    NMSU +3.5MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total up to 49.5LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 48.5 → 49.5 · 1 books
  2. Spread to JXST −2.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · JXST −3.5 → −2.5 · 1 books
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