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PREGAME · ESPN · DATCU STADIUM
Florida Atlantic
4-2
North Texas
4-2
KICKOFF IN132:46:087:30 PM ET · ESPN · DATCU Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
78°5 mph SE · 7% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Florida Atlantic's passing game vs the North Texas pass defense

    Florida Atlantic gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (44th); North Texas allows +0.27 (129th). About 39 such plays projected.

    FAU +11.3MODEL IMPACT
  2. North Texas's passing game vs the Florida Atlantic pass defense

    North Texas gains +0.35 EPA a play on the pass (4th); Florida Atlantic allows +0.07 (48th). About 38 such plays projected.

    UNT +10.7MODEL IMPACT
  3. North Texas's run game vs the Florida Atlantic run defense

    North Texas gains +0.12 EPA a play on the run (36th); Florida Atlantic allows +0.22 (136th). About 30 such plays projected.

    UNT +9.1MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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