

Baylor
4-2

UCF
3-3KICKOFF IN156:46:487:30 PM ET · ESPN · FBC Mortgage Stadium
- Spread · now
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- Model
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- Win prob
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- Total
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- At kickoff
- 76°13 mph NE · 23% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
The UCF run defense vs Baylor's run game
Baylor gains −0.01 EPA a play on the run (118th); UCF allows +0.00 (27th). About 30 such plays projected.
UCF +6.1MODEL IMPACTThe Baylor run defense vs UCF's run game
UCF gains +0.06 EPA a play on the run (74th); Baylor allows −0.04 (7th). About 34 such plays projected.
BAY +5.9MODEL IMPACTThe Baylor pass defense vs UCF's passing game
UCF gains +0.11 EPA a play on the pass (72nd); Baylor allows +0.06 (40th). About 34 such plays projected.
BAY +3.3MODEL IMPACT
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