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PREGAME · ESPN2 · HORNET STADIUM
Kent State
3-5 · −10.5
Sacramento State
1-7 · +10.5
KICKOFF IN134:35:4110:30 PM ET · ESPN2 · Hornet Stadium
Spread · now
KENT −10.5▼ 1 · 7:07
Model
KENT −7+3.5
Win prob
66%KENT
Total
46.5model 48.6
At kickoff
56°5 mph W · 16% rain

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The Kent State pass defense vs Sacramento State's passing game

    Sacramento State gains −0.14 EPA a play on the pass (138th); Kent State allows +0.12 (75th). About 39 such plays projected.

    KENT +13.0MODEL IMPACT
  2. The Kent State run defense vs Sacramento State's run game

    Sacramento State gains −0.05 EPA a play on the run (130th); Kent State allows +0.10 (89th). About 24 such plays projected.

    KENT +3.2MODEL IMPACT
  3. The pace fight

    SAC snaps every 32.0 s, KENT every 30.1 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 3.9 points. The model projects 126 plays against a 131 average.

    U 2.2TOTAL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Spread to KENT −10.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · KENT −11.5 → −10.5 · 4 books
  2. Spread to KENT −11.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · KENT −10.5 → −11.5 · 1 books
  3. Spread to KENT −10.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · KENT −9.5 → −10.5 · 1 books
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