

Purdue
3-4

Penn State
3-4KICKOFFTBABeaver Stadium
- Spread · now
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- Model
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- Win prob
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- Total
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- At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
Penn State's passing game vs the Purdue pass defense
Penn State gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (46th); Purdue allows +0.21 (115th). About 36 such plays projected.
PSU +7.5MODEL IMPACTPurdue's run game vs the Penn State run defense
Purdue gains +0.06 EPA a play on the run (73rd); Penn State allows +0.12 (98th). About 32 such plays projected.
PUR +2.1MODEL IMPACTThe Penn State pass defense vs Purdue's passing game
Purdue gains +0.24 EPA a play on the pass (20th); Penn State allows −0.05 (9th). About 36 such plays projected.
PSU +1.9MODEL IMPACT
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