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PREGAME · BEAVER STADIUM
Purdue
3-4
Penn State
3-4
KICKOFFTBABeaver Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Penn State's passing game vs the Purdue pass defense

    Penn State gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (46th); Purdue allows +0.21 (115th). About 36 such plays projected.

    PSU +7.5MODEL IMPACT
  2. Purdue's run game vs the Penn State run defense

    Purdue gains +0.06 EPA a play on the run (73rd); Penn State allows +0.12 (98th). About 32 such plays projected.

    PUR +2.1MODEL IMPACT
  3. The Penn State pass defense vs Purdue's passing game

    Purdue gains +0.24 EPA a play on the pass (20th); Penn State allows −0.05 (9th). About 36 such plays projected.

    PSU +1.9MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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