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PREGAME · MW+ · CEFCU STADIUM
New Mexico
5-1
San José State
4-3
KICKOFF IN176:28:174:00 PM ET · MW+ · CEFCU Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The New Mexico run defense vs San José State's run game

    San José State gains −0.08 EPA a play on the run (136th); New Mexico allows −0.03 (11th). About 33 such plays projected.

    UNM +12.0MODEL IMPACT
  2. The New Mexico pass defense vs San José State's passing game

    San José State gains +0.03 EPA a play on the pass (110th); New Mexico allows −0.02 (16th). About 35 such plays projected.

    UNM +11.2MODEL IMPACT
  3. New Mexico's run game vs the San José State run defense

    New Mexico gains +0.10 EPA a play on the run (49th); San José State allows +0.12 (97th). About 43 such plays projected.

    UNM +4.8MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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