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PREGAME · SEC NETWORK · RAZORBACK STADIUM
Missouri
#22 · 5-2 · −10.5
Arkansas
3-4 · +10.5
KICKOFF IN179:33:237:45 PM ET · SEC Network · Razorback Stadium
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MIZ −10.5
Model
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Win prob
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Total
48.5
At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. The Missouri run defense vs Arkansas's run game

    Arkansas gains −0.01 EPA a play on the run (119th); Missouri allows −0.02 (16th). About 33 such plays projected.

    MIZ +8.3MODEL IMPACT

  2. The Missouri pass defense vs Arkansas's passing game

    Arkansas gains +0.06 EPA a play on the pass (94th); Missouri allows +0.01 (22nd). About 35 such plays projected.

    MIZ +8.0MODEL IMPACT

  3. Missouri's passing game vs the Arkansas pass defense

    Missouri gains +0.19 EPA a play on the pass (34th); Arkansas allows +0.15 (88th). About 34 such plays projected.

    MIZ +5.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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