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PREGAME · DKR-TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM
Mississippi State
4-2
Texas
#19 · 4-2
KICKOFF IN179:18:067:30 PM ET · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The Mississippi State run defense vs Texas's run game

    Texas gains +0.01 EPA a play on the run (110th); Mississippi State allows +0.02 (39th). About 35 such plays projected.

    MSST +5.5MODEL IMPACT
  2. Texas's passing game vs the Mississippi State pass defense

    Texas gains +0.12 EPA a play on the pass (61st); Mississippi State allows +0.17 (103rd). About 33 such plays projected.

    TEX +3.4MODEL IMPACT
  3. The Texas pass defense vs Mississippi State's passing game

    Mississippi State gains +0.21 EPA a play on the pass (30th); Texas allows −0.04 (10th). About 36 such plays projected.

    TEX +3.0MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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