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PREGAME · ACC NETWORK · CARTER-FINLEY STADIUM
California
3-4
NC State
3-4
KICKOFF IN173:16:4812:00 PM ET · ACC Network · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. NC State's passing game vs the California pass defense

    NC State gains +0.24 EPA a play on the pass (21st); California allows +0.09 (57th). About 35 such plays projected.

    NCSU +5.3MODEL IMPACT
  2. California's passing game vs the NC State pass defense

    California gains +0.07 EPA a play on the pass (84th); NC State allows +0.24 (125th). About 43 such plays projected.

    CAL +5.3MODEL IMPACT
  3. NC State's run game vs the California run defense

    NC State gains +0.05 EPA a play on the run (82nd); California allows +0.18 (132nd). About 33 such plays projected.

    NCSU +4.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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