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PREGAME · ESPN+ · ALLEN E. PAULSON STADIUM
App State
5-2
Georgia Southern
3-4
KICKOFF IN179:46:526:30 PM ET · ESPN+ · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The Georgia Southern run defense vs App State's run game

    App State gains −0.02 EPA a play on the run (122nd); Georgia Southern allows +0.07 (69th). About 32 such plays projected.

    GASO +4.0MODEL IMPACT
  2. The App State pass defense vs Georgia Southern's passing game

    Georgia Southern gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (45th); App State allows +0.04 (30th). About 41 such plays projected.

    APP +1.7MODEL IMPACT
  3. App State's passing game vs the Georgia Southern pass defense

    App State gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (48th); Georgia Southern allows +0.10 (58th). About 36 such plays projected.

    APP +1.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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