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PREGAME · FOX · KINNICK STADIUM
Wisconsin
4-2 · +4.5
Iowa
#15 · 5-1 · −4.5
KICKOFF IN171:48:0812:00 PM ET · FOX · Kinnick Stadium
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IOWA −4.5
Model
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Win prob
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Total
39.5
At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The Iowa run defense vs Wisconsin's run game

    Wisconsin gains +0.12 EPA a play on the run (40th); Iowa allows −0.08 (2nd). About 36 such plays projected.

    IOWA +5.4MODEL IMPACT
  2. The Wisconsin pass defense vs Iowa's passing game

    Iowa gains +0.18 EPA a play on the pass (38th); Wisconsin allows −0.01 (18th). About 37 such plays projected.

    WIS +3.6MODEL IMPACT
  3. The Wisconsin run defense vs Iowa's run game

    Iowa gains +0.11 EPA a play on the run (46th); Wisconsin allows −0.00 (22nd). About 31 such plays projected.

    WIS +1.5MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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