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PREGAME · USA NETWORK · VALLEY CHILDREN'S STADIUM
Oregon State
5-2 · −6.5
Fresno State
4-3 · +6.5
KICKOFF IN182:48:2311:00 PM ET · USA Network · Valley Children's Stadium
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ORST −6.5
Model
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Win prob
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Total
56.5
At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Oregon State's passing game vs the Fresno State pass defense

    Oregon State gains +0.25 EPA a play on the pass (18th); Fresno State allows +0.09 (54th). About 44 such plays projected.

    ORST +6.6MODEL IMPACT
  2. Oregon State's run game vs the Fresno State run defense

    Oregon State gains +0.15 EPA a play on the run (24th); Fresno State allows +0.13 (108th). About 24 such plays projected.

    ORST +4.8MODEL IMPACT
  3. Fresno State's passing game vs the Oregon State pass defense

    Fresno State gains +0.19 EPA a play on the pass (35th); Oregon State allows +0.10 (61st). About 35 such plays projected.

    FRES +3.0MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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