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PREGAME · FS1 · SECU STADIUM
Illinois
3-3
Maryland
2-5
KICKOFF IN173:16:4912:00 PM ET · FS1 · SECU Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Maryland's passing game vs the Illinois pass defense

    Maryland gains +0.01 EPA a play on the pass (114th); Illinois allows +0.33 (136th). About 42 such plays projected.

    MD +6.9MODEL IMPACT
  2. Illinois's passing game vs the Maryland pass defense

    Illinois gains +0.20 EPA a play on the pass (32nd); Maryland allows +0.14 (82nd). About 37 such plays projected.

    ILL +5.7MODEL IMPACT
  3. Illinois's run game vs the Maryland run defense

    Illinois gains +0.07 EPA a play on the run (71st); Maryland allows +0.13 (110th). About 31 such plays projected.

    ILL +2.7MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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