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PREGAME · KENAN STADIUM
Miami
#1 · 6-0 · −14
North Carolina
4-2 · +14
KICKOFF IN179:18:077:30 PM ET · Kenan Stadium
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MIA −14
Model
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Win prob
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Total
50.5
At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Miami's passing game vs the North Carolina pass defense

    Miami gains +0.37 EPA a play on the pass (3rd); North Carolina allows +0.04 (32nd). About 35 such plays projected.

    MIA +9.4MODEL IMPACT
  2. The Miami run defense vs North Carolina's run game

    North Carolina gains +0.09 EPA a play on the run (52nd); Miami allows −0.08 (1st). About 33 such plays projected.

    MIA +6.2MODEL IMPACT
  3. Miami's run game vs the North Carolina run defense

    Miami gains +0.14 EPA a play on the run (30th); North Carolina allows +0.08 (72nd). About 33 such plays projected.

    MIA +3.6MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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