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PREGAME · GILLETTE STADIUM
Notre Dame
#4 · 6-1 · −28.5
Navy
2-4 · +28.5
KICKOFF IN172:27:2912:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium
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ND −28.5
Model
—
Win prob
—
Total
53.5
At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches

  1. Notre Dame's passing game vs the Navy pass defense

    Notre Dame gains +0.32 EPA a play on the pass (8th); Navy allows +0.32 (135th). About 33 such plays projected.

    ND +20.1MODEL IMPACT

  2. The Notre Dame pass defense vs Navy's passing game

    Navy gains +0.09 EPA a play on the pass (78th); Notre Dame allows −0.03 (13th). About 14 such plays projected.

    ND +3.5MODEL IMPACT

  3. The Navy run defense vs Notre Dame's run game

    Notre Dame gains +0.18 EPA a play on the run (11th); Navy allows −0.07 (4th). About 35 such plays projected.

    NAVY +1.4MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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