1. 01

   UConn's run game vs the Air Force run defense

   UConn gains +0.17 EPA a play on the run (18th); Air Force allows +0.12 (100th). About 37 such plays projected.

   CONN +7.8MODEL IMPACT
2. 02

   Air Force's run game vs the UConn run defense

   Air Force gains +0.21 EPA a play on the run (2nd); UConn allows +0.02 (41st). About 58 such plays projected.

   AFA +7.6MODEL IMPACT
3. 03

   UConn's passing game vs the Air Force pass defense

   UConn gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (43rd); Air Force allows +0.16 (93rd). About 31 such plays projected.

   CONN +4.2MODEL IMPACT

No injury changes or line moves yet.