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PREGAME · MW+ · FARGODOME
UTEP
1-6
North Dakota State
6-1
KICKOFF IN175:58:193:30 PM ET · MW+ · Fargodome
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
Indoors

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. The North Dakota State pass defense vs UTEP's passing game

    UTEP gains −0.11 EPA a play on the pass (135th); North Dakota State allows −0.09 (3rd). About 33 such plays projected.

    NDSU +20.3MODEL IMPACT
  2. North Dakota State's passing game vs the UTEP pass defense

    North Dakota State gains +0.10 EPA a play on the pass (73rd); UTEP allows +0.32 (134th). About 27 such plays projected.

    NDSU +7.5MODEL IMPACT
  3. The North Dakota State run defense vs UTEP's run game

    UTEP gains +0.04 EPA a play on the run (89th); North Dakota State allows −0.04 (10th). About 35 such plays projected.

    NDSU +6.9MODEL IMPACT

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