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PREGAME · ABC · MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM
Florida
#20 · 5-2 · +10
Georgia
#5 · 6-1 · −10
KICKOFF IN175:18:183:30 PM ET · ABC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Spread · now
UGA −10▼ 2.5 · FRI 3:30P
Model
—
Win prob
—
Total
56
At kickoff
Indoors

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Georgia's passing game vs the Florida pass defense

    Georgia gains +0.28 EPA a play on the pass (11th); Florida allows +0.16 (95th). About 35 such plays projected.

    UGA +10.6MODEL IMPACT
  2. Georgia's run game vs the Florida run defense

    Georgia gains +0.18 EPA a play on the run (7th); Florida allows +0.11 (93rd). About 33 such plays projected.

    UGA +7.3MODEL IMPACT
  3. Florida's passing game vs the Georgia pass defense

    Florida gains +0.31 EPA a play on the pass (10th); Georgia allows +0.07 (45th). About 30 such plays projected.

    FLA +6.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Total up to 56LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 53.5 → 56 · 2 books
  2. Spread to UGA −10LINE MOVE · SPREAD · UGA −12.5 → −10 · 2 books
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