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PREGAME · CW · ALBERTSONS STADIUM
Texas State
3-3
Boise State
#21 · 5-1
KICKOFF IN182:28:0310:00 PM ET · CW · Albertsons Stadium
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Model
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Win prob
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Total
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At kickoff
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Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. Boise State's passing game vs the Texas State pass defense

    Boise State gains +0.24 EPA a play on the pass (23rd); Texas State allows +0.24 (123rd). About 28 such plays projected.

    BSU +10.0MODEL IMPACT
  2. Texas State's passing game vs the Boise State pass defense

    Texas State gains +0.27 EPA a play on the pass (12th); Boise State allows +0.12 (73rd). About 27 such plays projected.

    TXST +6.6MODEL IMPACT
  3. Boise State's run game vs the Texas State run defense

    Boise State gains +0.16 EPA a play on the run (19th); Texas State allows +0.03 (47th). About 40 such plays projected.

    BSU +3.2MODEL IMPACT

Late news

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