UTSA
7-1 · −6.5
Florida Atlantic
5-3 · +6.5KICKOFF IN5:34:537:30 PM ET · ESPN · FAU Stadium
- Spread · now
- UTSA −6.5▼ 1 · SUN 1:00P
- Model
- UTSA −5.2+1.3
- Win prob
- 62%was 62 · injury news
- Total
- 72.5model 62.3
- At kickoff
- 79°7 mph NE · 1% rain
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches
UTSA's run game vs the Florida Atlantic run defense
UTSA gains +0.16 EPA a play on the run (20th); Florida Atlantic allows +0.28 (137th). About 36 such plays projected.
UTSA +15.3MODEL IMPACTFlorida Atlantic's passing game vs the UTSA pass defense
Florida Atlantic gains +0.22 EPA a play on the pass (28th); UTSA allows +0.17 (103rd). About 41 such plays projected.
FAU +11.2MODEL IMPACTThe pace fight
FAU snaps every 25.2 s, UTSA every 26.7 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.4 points. The model projects 142 plays against a 131 average.
O 4.7TOTAL IMPACT
Late news
Auto-updating
- Total up to 73LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 72 → 73 · 10 books
- Total down to 72LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 73 → 72 · 10 books
- Total up to 73LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 72 → 73 · 8 books
- Total up to 73.5STEAM · TOTAL · 72 → 73.5 · 4 books · 300s window
- Total down to 72LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 73 → 72 · 5 books
- Spread to UTSA −6.5LINE MOVE · SPREAD · UTSA −7.5 → −6.5 · 5 books
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