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FINAL · CBSSN · INFOCISION STADIUM
Western Michigan
Western MichiganWMU427-3 · 5-1 MAC
42
FINAL
WMU −15.5 COVEROVER 50.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP WMU 79%POSTGAME WE WMU 97%

InfoCision Stadium · 4,243

Akron
AkronAKR141-9 · 0-6 MAC
14
Postgame WE
97%
WMU · 10k sims
Offense EPA / play
+0.39
AKR −0.18
Success rate
53%
AKR 38%
Turnovers
0–0
—
vs model
+28
proj WMU by 13.1
Plays · pace
115
proj 125 · 31.3s

How often this box score wins

Win probability · full game

WMU LOW 83% · Q1 9:04 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.7

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Akron

    Durham J.Williams sacks Lowry, −9

    (09:07) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WMU48 (#1 C.Durham, #55 J.Williams), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

    Q1 9:07 · 4th & 1 AKR 43 · −4.4 WMU EPA
    Q1 9:07 · 4th & 1 AKR 43 · −4.4 WMU EPA
    −.07
  2. 2Western Michigan

    Lowry 6-yd pass to Levicki

    (14:57) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #88 N.Levicki caught at WMU08, for 6 yards to the WMU07 (#4 Z.Hobson) PENALTY AKR Offside declined

    Q1 14:57 · 1st & 10 WMU 1 · +1.5 EPA
    Q1 14:57 · 1st & 10 WMU 1 · +1.5 EPA
    +.06
  3. 3Western Michigan

    Reynolds 35-yd run

    (03:28) Shotgun #13 M.Reynolds rush middle for 35 yards gain to the AKR04 (#29 T.Davis), 1ST DOWN

    Q1 3:28 · 3rd & 5 AKR 39 · +3.5 EPA
    Q1 3:28 · 3rd & 5 AKR 39 · +3.5 EPA
    +.04
  4. 4Western Michigan

    Buckley 15-yd run

    (05:32) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 15 yards gain to the AKR44 (#29 T.Davis), 1ST DOWN

    Q1 5:32 · 3rd & 8 WMU 41 · +2.7 EPA
    Q1 5:32 · 3rd & 8 WMU 41 · +2.7 EPA
    +.03
  5. 5Western Michigan

    Cabana 82-yd TD run

    (12:47) Shotgun #4 C.Cabana rush middle for 82 yards gain to the AKR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:33, 1ST DOWN #32 D.Kelly kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 D.Doyle)

    Q2 12:47 · 3rd & 4 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +7.3 EPA
    Q2 12:47 · 7–0 → 14–0 · +7.3 EPA
    +.03

Player EPA

Total · game