

Kelly/Shorts Stadium · 8,568


- Postgame WE
- 90%
- CMU · 10k sims
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.21
- SAC −0.25
- Success rate
- 41%
- SAC 39%
- Turnovers
- 1–1
- ≈ 0.8 pts swing
- vs model
- +21
- proj CMU by 14.7
- Plays · pace
- 119
- proj 125 · 30.3s
How often this box score wins
Win probability · full game
CMU LOW 86% · Q2 4:01 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.5Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|- 1


Taylor intercepts Salazar
(06:17) Shotgun #6 B.Salazar Jr pass intercepted by #14 J.Taylor at CMU07 broken up by #17 C.Ali #14 J.Taylor return 2 yards to the CMU09 (#85 E.Huddle)
+.05 - 2


Ene 37-yd TD run
(04:08) Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush left for 37 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:01, 1ST DOWN #9 S.Marks kick attempt good (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton)
−.05 - 3


Blue 8-yd TD run
(00:26) Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 8 yards gain to the SSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)
+.04 - 4


False Start on CMU
PENALTY CMU False Start (#69 J.Booth) 5 yards from SSU03 to SSU08. NO PLAY
−.03 - 5


Townsend 40-yd TD run
(06:31) Shotgun #2 B.Townsend rush middle for 40 yards gain to the SSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:23, 1ST DOWN #38 C.VanHuis kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #51 Z.Curtis)
+.03
Player EPA
Total · gamePlay-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 211 | 424 |
| Plays | 45 | 75 |
| Yards / play | 4.7 | 5.7 |
| EPA / play | −0.25 | +0.21 |
| Success rate | 39% | 41% |
| Explosive plays | 3 | 7 |
| Havoc rate | 9% | 11% |
| 3rd down | 3–10 | 11–18 |
| Pts / opportunity | 1.17 | 4.00 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 20:12 | 39:48 |
| Postgame WE | 10% | 90% |

