LouisianaUL427-3 · 4-2 Sun Belt
42FINAL
UL −10 COVEROVER 47.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP UL 77%POSTGAME WE UL 97%
Malone Stadium · 9,002
UL MonroeULM212-8 · 2-4 Sun Belt
21- Postgame WE
- 97%
- UL · 10k sims
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.41
- ULM −0.07
- Success rate
- 64%
- ULM 41%
- Turnovers
- 0–3
- ≈ 12.3 pts swing
- vs model
- +21
- proj UL by 12.0
- Plays · pace
- 123
- proj 133 · 29.3s
How often this box score wins
Win probability · full game
UL LOW 41% · Q2 7:12 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.5Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|- 1
Johnson 18-yd fumble-return TD
Micah Johnson 18 Yd Fumble Return (Tony Sterner Kick)
+.16 - 2
Carlisle 10-yd run
(09:19) Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ULM31 (#21 M.Eleam), 1ST DOWN
−.11 - 3
Carlisle 12-yd run
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush right for 12 yards gain to the ULM44, out of bounds at ULM44, 1ST DOWN
−.09 - 4
Wade 8-yd TD run
(00:45) Shotgun #9 K.Wade rush left for 8 yards gain to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)
+.08 - 5
Roland 24-yd run
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 24 yards gain to the ULL06 (#44 J.St. Andre; #2 A.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
−.07