Skip to content
FINAL · ESPN2 · MALONE STADIUM
Louisiana
LouisianaUL427-3 · 4-2 Sun Belt
42
FINAL
UL −10 COVEROVER 47.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP UL 77%POSTGAME WE UL 97%

Malone Stadium · 9,002

UL Monroe
UL MonroeULM212-8 · 2-4 Sun Belt
21
Postgame WE
97%
UL · 10k sims
Offense EPA / play
+0.41
ULM −0.07
Success rate
64%
ULM 41%
Turnovers
0–3
≈ 12.3 pts swing
vs model
+21
proj UL by 12.0
Plays · pace
123
proj 133 · 29.3s

How often this box score wins

Win probability · full game

UL LOW 41% · Q2 7:12 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.5

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Louisiana

    Johnson 18-yd fumble-return TD

    Micah Johnson 18 Yd Fumble Return (Tony Sterner Kick)

    Q3 12:27 · 1st & 10 · 14–14 → 21–14 · −7.1 ULM EPA
    Q3 12:27 · 14–14 → 21–14 · −7.1 ULM EPA
    +.16
  2. 2UL Monroe

    Carlisle 10-yd run

    (09:19) Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ULM31 (#21 M.Eleam), 1ST DOWN

    Q2 9:19 · 2nd & 8 ULM 21 · +1.1 EPA
    Q2 9:19 · 2nd & 8 ULM 21 · +1.1 EPA
    −.11
  3. 3UL Monroe

    Carlisle 12-yd run

    (07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush right for 12 yards gain to the ULM44, out of bounds at ULM44, 1ST DOWN

    Q2 7:53 · 2nd & 9 ULM 32 · +1.7 EPA
    Q2 7:53 · 2nd & 9 ULM 32 · +1.7 EPA
    −.09
  4. 4Louisiana

    Wade 8-yd TD run

    (00:45) Shotgun #9 K.Wade rush left for 8 yards gain to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #49 M.Golding, LS: #54 C.Kraft)

    Q2 0:45 · 2nd & Goal · 7–14 → 14–14 · +2.6 EPA
    Q2 0:45 · 7–14 → 14–14 · +2.6 EPA
    +.08
  5. 5UL Monroe

    Roland 24-yd run

    (14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 24 yards gain to the ULL06 (#44 J.St. Andre; #2 A.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

    Q2 14:59 · 1st & 10 UL 30 · +1.7 EPA
    Q2 14:59 · 1st & 10 UL 30 · +1.7 EPA
    −.07

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Louisiana at UL Monroe
StatULULM
Total yards339372
Plays4679
Yards / play7.44.7
EPA / play+0.41−0.07
Success rate64%41%
Explosive plays87
Havoc rate15%4%
3rd down1–59–17
Pts / opportunity5.002.33
Turnovers03
Time of possession——
Postgame WE97%3%