Big Ten · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 2-3
Wisconsin Badgers
HC Luke Fickell (4th yr) · OC Jeff Grimes · DC Mike Tressel
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 2-4-5 · SHOTGUN 93%
Big Ten · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 2-3
Wisconsin
Badgers · HC Luke Fickell (4th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 2-4-5
Wisconsin
4-2 · 2-1 Big Ten
2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%
Latest from the beat
WISCONSIN · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   vs Notre Dame · Greenbayvs Notre Dame | L13–41 | +21+21 | L | −0.44 | 32% | 47% | 3% | 61 | 29.7 | |
| 2 |   Western IllinoisWestern Illinois | W36–9 | −43.5−43.5 | L | +0.28 | 38% | 39% | 95% | 53 | 29.1 | |
| 3 |   Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan | W54–10 | −23.5−23.5 | W | +0.87 | 57% | 25% | 98% | 63 | 33.1 | |
| 4 |   at Penn Stateat Penn State | W24–20 | +10+10 | W | +0.11 | 36% | 26% | 59% | 66 | 42.8 | |
| 5 |   Michigan StateMichigan State | W31–3 | −9−9 | W | +0.64 | 34% | 36% | 97% | 62 | 30.8 | |
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at UCLAat UCLA | L7–17 | +1.5+1.5 | L | −0.11 | 40% | 41% | 23% | 48 | 27.4 | |
| 8 |   USCUSCNEXT | SAT 7:30 NBCSAT 7:30 | +3+3 | — | — | — | — | 46% | 127 | — | |
| 9 |   at Iowaat Iowa | OCT 31OCT 31 | +4.9 proj+4.9 | 38% | |||||||
| 10 |   RutgersRutgers | NOV 7NOV 7 | −12.9 proj−12.9 | 78% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Marylandat Maryland | NOV 14NOV 14 | −6.2 proj−6.2 | 65% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Purdueat Purdue | NOV 21NOV 21 | −2.4 proj−2.4 | 56% | |||||||
| 13 |   MinnesotaMinnesota | NOV 27NOV 27 | −11 proj−11 | 75% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 308 OF 311 PLAYS308 OF 311 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun93% | 93% | 49% | +0.07 | 38% |
| Under center7% | 7% | 17% | +0.48 | 48% |
| No-huddle4% | 4% | 77% | +0.88 | 62% |
| Huddle96% | 96% | 46% | +0.07 | 38% |
In shotgun on 93 % of tagged snaps, passing 49 % of the time (+0.07 EPA a play; +0.48 under center). Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 2-4-5 (5 of 6).
Next game
SAT 7:30 NBC · CAMP RANDALL STADIUMSAT 7:30 NBC
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Ten crews−0.3 to +0.5 · 49 games | +0.1 | −0.3 to +0.5 | 49 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 2 games | −1.9 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 2 games | −0.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −0.9 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −3.0 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 1 game | +2.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Wisconsin than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Wisconsin than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | WisconsinWIS | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.09 | 51st | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 40.2% | 91st | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.40 | 8th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.12 | 41st | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.06 | 92nd | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 28.6% | 113th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.18 | 79th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 2.0% | 12th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39% | 77th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.39 | 65th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 53% | 111th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 30.6 | 117th | 28.0 |