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FINAL · ESPNU · LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD
CONNUConn
343-3 · 0-0 Independents
34
FINAL
TEMTemple
202-4 · 1-1 American
20
CONN +3.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP CONN 47%→POSTGAME WE CONN 73%
Lincoln Financial Field · 21,112
Postgame WE
73%CONN · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.41TEM +0.09
Success rate
53%TEM 48%
Turnovers
0–1≈ 2.5 pts swing
vs model
−14proj TEM by 1.4
Plays · pace
122proj 123 · 29.5s

Win probability · full game

CONN LOW 30% · Q2 10:17 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.4

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1UConn
    Riser-Pressley sacks Sheppard, −1
    (12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CON38 (#17 S.Riser-Pressley), fumble by #13 A.Sheppard recovered by CON #0 K.Sherman at CON38, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELD
    Q4 12:08 · 1st & 10 CONN 39 · −4.9 TEM EPA
    Q4 12:08 · 1st & 10 CONN 39 · −4.9 TEM EPA
    +.20
  2. 2UConn
    Osborne 30-yd pass to Porter
    (00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete deep middle to #5 S.Porter caught at TEM03, for 30 yards to the TEM03 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Roughing The Passer (#22 J.Gould) 2 yards from TEM03 to TEM01, 1ST DOWN
    Q2 0:50 · 4th & 6 TEM 33 · +5.1 EPA
    Q2 0:50 · 4th & 6 TEM 33 · +5.1 EPA
    +.18
  3. 3Temple
    Sheppard 79-yd TD to Bermudez
    (12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at CON28, for 79 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:28, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden)
    Q1 12:35 · 1st & 10 · 7–0 → 7–7 · +6.4 EPA
    Q1 12:35 · 7–0 → 7–7 · +6.4 EPA
    −.17
  4. 4UConn
    Christian 39-yd TD run
    (10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Christian rush middle for 39 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:18, 1ST DOWN #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)
    Q1 10:19 · 1st & 15 · 7–7 → 14–7 · +4.0 EPA
    Q1 10:19 · 7–7 → 14–7 · +4.0 EPA
    +.12
  5. 5UConn
    Osborne 18-yd pass to Bowers
    (09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #23 C.Bowers caught at TEM26, for 18 yards to the TEM18 (#36 W.Brown), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 9:38 · 3rd & 10 TEM 36 · +2.9 EPA
    Q4 9:38 · 3rd & 10 TEM 36 · +2.9 EPA
    +.12

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 122 plays