CONNUConn
343-3 · 0-0 IndependentsFINAL
TEMTemple
202-4 · 1-1 AmericanCONN +3.5 COVERUNDER 55.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP CONN 47%→POSTGAME WE CONN 73%
Lincoln Financial Field · 21,112- Postgame WE
- 73%CONN · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.41TEM +0.09
- Success rate
- 53%TEM 48%
- Turnovers
- 0–1≈ 2.5 pts swing
- vs model
- −14proj TEM by 1.4
- Plays · pace
- 122proj 123 · 29.5s
Win probability · full game
CONN LOW 30% · Q2 10:17 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 5.4Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
Riser-Pressley sacks Sheppard, −1(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CON38 (#17 S.Riser-Pressley), fumble by #13 A.Sheppard recovered by CON #0 K.Sherman at CON38, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDQ4 12:08 · 1st & 10 CONN 39 · −4.9 TEM EPAQ4 12:08 · 1st & 10 CONN 39 · −4.9 TEM EPA+.20 - 2Osborne 30-yd pass to Porter(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete deep middle to #5 S.Porter caught at TEM03, for 30 yards to the TEM03 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Roughing The Passer (#22 J.Gould) 2 yards from TEM03 to TEM01, 1ST DOWNQ2 0:50 · 4th & 6 TEM 33 · +5.1 EPAQ2 0:50 · 4th & 6 TEM 33 · +5.1 EPA+.18
- 3
Sheppard 79-yd TD to Bermudez(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at CON28, for 79 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:28, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden)Q1 12:35 · 1st & 10 · 7–0 → 7–7 · +6.4 EPAQ1 12:35 · 7–0 → 7–7 · +6.4 EPA−.17 - 4Christian 39-yd TD run(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Christian rush middle for 39 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:18, 1ST DOWN #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)Q1 10:19 · 1st & 15 · 7–7 → 14–7 · +4.0 EPAQ1 10:19 · 7–7 → 14–7 · +4.0 EPA+.12
- 5Osborne 18-yd pass to Bowers(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #23 C.Bowers caught at TEM26, for 18 yards to the TEM18 (#36 W.Brown), 1ST DOWNQ4 9:38 · 3rd & 10 TEM 36 · +2.9 EPAQ4 9:38 · 3rd & 10 TEM 36 · +2.9 EPA+.12
Player EPA
Total · game
- Kalieb Osborne · QB17/23 · 257 YDS · 11 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · FUM+14.4
- Peter Clarke · TE5 REC · 88 YDS · 1 TD+7.1
- JoJo Bermudez · WR2 REC · 96 YDS · 1 TD+7.0
- Trey Cornist · RB7 CAR · 114 YDS · 1 TD+6.6
- Shamar Porter · WR2 REC · 39 YDS+6.4
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | CONN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 505 | 437 |
| Plays | 63 | 60 |
| Yards / play | 8.0 | 7.3 |
| EPA / play | +0.41 | +0.09 |
| Success rate | 53% | 48% |
| Explosive plays | 12 | 8 |
| Havoc rate | 17% | 8% |
| 3rd down | 5–12 | 5–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 4.25 | 2.22 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 28:58 | 31:02 |
| Postgame WE | 73% | 27% |