

RICERice
121-5 · 0-2 AmericanFINAL


ECUEast Carolina
283-2 · 1-0 AmericanECU −10 COVERUNDER 46.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ECU 78%→POSTGAME WE ECU 80%
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · 33,968- Postgame WE
- 80%ECU · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- −0.04RICE −0.37
- Success rate
- 32%RICE 26%
- Turnovers
- 0–2≈ 8.0 pts swing
- vs model
- +16proj ECU by 12.8
- Plays · pace
- 139proj 120 · 25.9s
Win probability · full game
ECU LOW 60% · Q3 12:17 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.4Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1

Engleman 43-yd run(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Engleman Jr. rush middle for 43 yards gain to the ECU46 (#7 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNQ1 12:07 · 1st & 10 ECU 3 · +2.9 EPAQ1 12:07 · 1st & 10 ECU 3 · +2.9 EPA+.15 - 2

Durkin 49-yd punt(12:19) #29 C.Durkin punt 49 yards to the ECU03Q1 12:19 · 4th & 11 RICE 48 · +1.2 EPAQ1 12:19 · 4th & 11 RICE 48 · +1.2 EPA−.12 - 3

Williams 6-yd TD to Joseph(04:41) No Huddle #9 E.Williams pass complete short middle to #1 R.Joseph Jr. caught at RICE10, for 6 yards to the RICE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:37, 1ST DOWN #43 N.Perez kick attempt good (H: #83 E.Huether, LS: #53 B.Shirley)Q3 4:41 · 3rd & 5 · 7–9 → 14–9 · +2.8 EPAQ3 4:41 · 7–9 → 14–9 · +2.8 EPA+.11 - 4

Williams 14-yd pass to Dickerson(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 E.Williams pass complete short left to #24 J.Dickerson caught at RICE43, for 14 yards to the RICE34 (#3 K.Akui), 1ST DOWNQ3 10:33 · 2nd & 14 RICE 48 · +2.1 EPAQ3 10:33 · 2nd & 14 RICE 48 · +2.1 EPA+.10 - 5

Byars 44-yd run(14:28) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 44 yards gain to the ECU26 (#3 Z.Gamble; #4 K.Merrell), 1ST DOWNQ3 14:28 · 2nd & 5 RICE 30 · +3.6 EPAQ3 14:28 · 2nd & 5 RICE 30 · +3.6 EPA−.09
Player EPA
Total · game

TJ Engleman Jr. · RB14 CAR · 136 YDS · 1 TD · 2 REC · 10 REC YDS+5.7
Tyvonn Byars · RB14 CAR · 111 YDS · 1 TD+4.4
Kevon Merrell Jr. · DB1 SACK · 1.5 TFL · PBU · 9 TKL+4.2
Michael Allen · RB10 CAR · 35 YDS · 1 REC · 0 REC YDS−8.7
Jacurri Brown · QB2/10 · 21 YDS · 1 INT · FUM · 2 SACKS−21.1

