Skip to content
FINAL · ESPN+ · DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM
RICERice
121-5 · 0-2 American
12
FINAL
ECUEast Carolina
283-2 · 1-0 American
28
ECU −10 COVERUNDER 46.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP ECU 78%→POSTGAME WE ECU 80%
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · 33,968
Postgame WE
80%ECU · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
−0.04RICE −0.37
Success rate
32%RICE 26%
Turnovers
0–2≈ 8.0 pts swing
vs model
+16proj ECU by 12.8
Plays · pace
139proj 120 · 25.9s

Win probability · full game

ECU LOW 60% · Q3 12:17 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.4

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1East Carolina
    Engleman 43-yd run
    (12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Engleman Jr. rush middle for 43 yards gain to the ECU46 (#7 A.Brown), 1ST DOWN
    Q1 12:07 · 1st & 10 ECU 3 · +2.9 EPA
    Q1 12:07 · 1st & 10 ECU 3 · +2.9 EPA
    +.15
  2. 2Rice
    Durkin 49-yd punt
    (12:19) #29 C.Durkin punt 49 yards to the ECU03
    Q1 12:19 · 4th & 11 RICE 48 · +1.2 EPA
    Q1 12:19 · 4th & 11 RICE 48 · +1.2 EPA
    −.12
  3. 3East Carolina
    Williams 6-yd TD to Joseph
    (04:41) No Huddle #9 E.Williams pass complete short middle to #1 R.Joseph Jr. caught at RICE10, for 6 yards to the RICE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:37, 1ST DOWN #43 N.Perez kick attempt good (H: #83 E.Huether, LS: #53 B.Shirley)
    Q3 4:41 · 3rd & 5 · 7–9 → 14–9 · +2.8 EPA
    Q3 4:41 · 7–9 → 14–9 · +2.8 EPA
    +.11
  4. 4East Carolina
    Williams 14-yd pass to Dickerson
    (10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 E.Williams pass complete short left to #24 J.Dickerson caught at RICE43, for 14 yards to the RICE34 (#3 K.Akui), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 10:33 · 2nd & 14 RICE 48 · +2.1 EPA
    Q3 10:33 · 2nd & 14 RICE 48 · +2.1 EPA
    +.10
  5. 5Rice
    Byars 44-yd run
    (14:28) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 44 yards gain to the ECU26 (#3 Z.Gamble; #4 K.Merrell), 1ST DOWN
    Q3 14:28 · 2nd & 5 RICE 30 · +3.6 EPA
    Q3 14:28 · 2nd & 5 RICE 30 · +3.6 EPA
    −.09

Player EPA

Total · game

Play-by-play

Box score

Team box score, Rice at East Carolina
StatRICEECU
Total yards233376
Plays6575
Yards / play3.65.0
EPA / play−0.37−0.04
Success rate26%32%
Explosive plays58
Havoc rate15%26%
3rd down3–155–16
Pts / opportunity1.712.33
Turnovers20
Time of possession29:4530:15
Postgame WE20%80%