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FINAL · CBSSN · PLASTER SPORTS COMPLEX
KENNKennesaw State
211-5 · 0-2 C-USA
21
FINAL
MOSTMissouri State
242-4 · 1-1 C-USA
24
MOST +2.5 COVERUNDER 52.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP MOST 53%→POSTGAME WE MOST 56%
Plaster Sports Complex · 9,044
Postgame WE
56%MOST · 10k sims
How often this box score wins
Offense EPA / play
+0.12KENN +0.07
Success rate
42%KENN 42%
Turnovers
0–0
vs model
+3proj MOST by 1.3
Plays · pace
135proj 127 · 26.7s

Win probability · full game

MOST LOW 32% · Q4 13:46 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 6.5

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Missouri State
    Belin 32-yd pass to Myers
    (11:06) Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV pass complete deep right to #3 I.Myers caught at KSU28, for 32 yards to the KSU28 (#5 T.Lawson; #0 P.Fisher), 1ST DOWN
    Q4 11:06 · 3rd & 6 MOST 40 · +3.5 EPA
    Q4 11:06 · 3rd & 6 MOST 40 · +3.5 EPA
    +.16
  2. 2Kennesaw State
    Woods 1-yd TD run
    (06:10) Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:06 #89 D.Kinney kick attempt good (H: #60 B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton)
    Q4 6:10 · 1st & Goal · 21–14 → 21–21 · +0.5 EPA
    Q4 6:10 · 21–14 → 21–21 · +0.5 EPA
    −.15
  3. 3Missouri State
    Belin 16-yd run
    (06:00) Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV rush middle for 16 yards gain to the MSU41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
    Q4 6:00 · 2nd & 10 MOST 25 · +1.8 EPA
    Q4 6:00 · 2nd & 10 MOST 25 · +1.8 EPA
    +.15
  4. 4Kennesaw State
    Collins 10-yd TD to Gary
    Dylan Gary 10 Yd pass from Rickie Collins (Daniel Kinney Kick)
    Q2 0:00 · 1st & Goal · 6–0 → 6–7 · +5.1 EPA
    Q2 0:00 · 6–0 → 6–7 · +5.1 EPA
    −.15
  5. 5Kennesaw State
    Collins 51-yd pass to Gary
    (08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete deep right to #13 D.Gary caught at KSU40, for 51 yards to the MSU34 (#7 M.Ganaway), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Holding declined
    Q4 8:59 · 1st & 20 KENN 15 · +4.1 EPA
    Q4 8:59 · 1st & 20 KENN 15 · +4.1 EPA
    −.14

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 135 plays