MOSTMissouri State
382-5 · 1-2 C-USAFINAL
DELDelaware
613-4 · 1-2 C-USADEL −3 COVEROVER 54.5MODEL EDGE MISS
PREGAME WP DEL 48%→POSTGAME WE DEL 92%
Delaware Stadium · 14,214- Postgame WE
- 92%DEL · 10k sims
- How often this box score wins
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.36MOST +0.13
- Success rate
- 54%MOST 53%
- Turnovers
- 1–0≈ 8.9 pts swing
- vs model
- −23proj MOST by 0.9
- Plays · pace
- 130proj 128 · 27.7s
Win probability · full game
DEL LOW 33% · Q2 0:14 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.0Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|
- 1
Corbin sacks Belin, −12(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Belin IV sacked for loss of 12 yards to the DEL37 (#11 J.Corbin), fumble by #2 H.Belin IV recovered by DEL #3 B.Gorham at DEL37 #3 B.Gorham return 59 yards to the MSU04 (#3 K.Anderson)Q3 6:09 · 2nd & 1 DEL 25 · −10.5 MOST EPAQ3 6:09 · 2nd & 1 DEL 25 · −10.5 MOST EPA+.35 - 2
O'Neal 47-yd pick-six off Minicucci(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass intercepted by #16 J.O'Neal at DEL47 #16 J.O'Neal return 47 yards to the DEL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:53 #36 Y.Obeid kick attempt good (H: #25 S.McDonald, LS: #47 A.Kallas)Q1 1:03 · 2nd & 10 · 7–7 → 7–14 · −8.9 DEL EPAQ1 1:03 · 7–7 → 7–14 · −8.9 DEL EPA−.20 - 3Minicucci kneels(00:07) Kneel down by #4 N.Minicucci at DEL10 for loss of 0 yardsQ2 0:07 · 1st & 10 DEL 10 · 0.0 EPAQ2 0:07 · 1st & 10 DEL 10 · 0.0 EPA+.18
- 4Minicucci 12-yd TD to Silver(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #27 J.Silver caught at MSU06, for 12 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:53, 1ST DOWN #31 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Cupitt, LS: #49 M.Sills)Q3 12:53 · 4th & 6 · 24–28 → 31–28 · +4.4 EPAQ3 12:53 · 24–28 → 31–28 · +4.4 EPA+.17
- 5Roberts 31-yd TD run(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Roberts rush right for 31 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:37, 1ST DOWN #31 T.Smack kick attempt good (H: #39 J.Cupitt, LS: #49 M.Sills)Q1 8:46 · 2nd & 12 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.9 EPAQ1 8:46 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.9 EPA+.16
Player EPA
Total · game
- Isaiah Myers · WR11 REC · 242 YDS · 2 TD+23.5
- Nick Minicucci · QB20/29 · 225 YDS · 5 TD · 1 INT · 5 RUSH YDS+15.8
- Jo Silver · RB13 CAR · 101 YDS · 1 TD · 1 REC · 12 REC YDS+9.0
- J.J. O'Neal · SINT · 6 TKL+8.9
- Scott Moore · TE2 REC · 58 YDS · 1 TD+7.1
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | MOST | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 431 | 482 |
| Plays | 58 | 75 |
| Yards / play | 7.4 | 6.4 |
| EPA / play | +0.13 | +0.36 |
| Success rate | 53% | 54% |
| Explosive plays | 12 | 9 |
| Havoc rate | 8% | 10% |
| 3rd down | 4–8 | 5–12 |
| Pts / opportunity | 2.82 | 4.69 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 25:17 | 34:43 |
| Postgame WE | 9% | 92% |