- Spread
- NEB −9.5
- Open −9.5 · −115
- Total
- 48.5
- Open 48.5 · o −110
- Model line
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- Win probability
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- Projected score
- —
- Projected plays
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- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- NEB −9.5
- open −9.5
- Model
- —
- Total
- 48.5
Where the model sees the game
EPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED · GARBAGE TIME OUTEPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED
| Unit vs defense | Offense gainsOff | Defense allowsDef | Plays | Model impactImpact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
  Washington passvs Nebraska pass Dvs NEB pass DBIGGEST EDGE | 82nd−0.04 | 4th−0.20 | 39 | NEB +13.6 |
| Washington runvs Nebraska run Dvs NEB run D | 105th−0.05 | 25th−0.07 | 29 | NEB +4.9 |
  Nebraska runvs Washington run Dvs UW run D | 35th+0.06 | 52nd−0.03 | 34 | NEB +1.2 |
| Nebraska passvs Washington pass Dvs UW pass D | 49th+0.04 | 56th−0.03 | 34 | NEB +0.6 |
BIGGEST EDGE · NEB +13.6
The Nebraska pass defense vs Washington's passing game
Washington gains +0.08 EPA a play on the pass (82nd); Nebraska allows −0.09 (4th). About 39 such plays projected. OFFENSE / DEFENSE columns are EPA a play above the FBS mean; negative defense is stingier.
OFF = EPA/play gained above the FBS mean, DEF = allowed above it (negative is stingier). Impact = model points.
When Nebraska has the ball
- +0.1429thEPA / play53rd+0.03
- 43.5%52ndSuccess rate71st42.2%
- 1.3625thExplosiveness63rd1.29
- +0.1335thRush EPA / play52nd+0.04
- +0.1549thPass EPA / dropback56th+0.09
- 47.0%70thStandard downs SR65th47.0%
- 33.9%25thPassing downs SR80th31.2%
- 3.1881stLine yards10th2.65
- 13.6%72ndHavoc rate20th17.2%
- 5.1617thPoints / opportunity85th4.19
- 80%9thRed zone TD rate77th63%
Nebraska's offense rates higher in 8 of 11. Widest gap: line yards (81st vs 10th).
When Washington has the ball
- +0.0196thEPA / play9th−0.11
- 42.4%62ndSuccess rate10th36.8%
- 1.2794thExplosiveness74th1.30
- +0.02105thRush EPA / play25th0.00
- +0.0882ndPass EPA / dropback4th−0.09
- 48.7%44thStandard downs SR31st45.1%
- 28.3%115thPassing downs SR2nd25.6%
- 2.96109thLine yards28th2.78
- 13.7%75thHavoc rate21st17.1%
- 4.4363rdPoints / opportunity7th2.89
- 65%67thRed zone TD rate6th40%
Nebraska's defense rates higher in 11 of 11. Widest gap: passing-downs success rate (115th vs 2nd).
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric | UWUW | NEBNEB | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 26.9 | 28.8 | 28.9 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 63.4 | 71.4 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 49.3% | 55.7% | 47.9% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | −0.9% | +0.5% | −1.9% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 42.0% | 53.0% | 44.6% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 22% | 28% | 27% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 29:09 | 32:42 | 30:11 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 27.7 | Own 29.7 | Own 29.8 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%
All tempo →Injury report
BIG TEN AVAILABILITY · DUE ~WED · IMPACT = PTS VS REPLACEMENT × P(OUT)
Week 7 game-day report1 OUT FOR SEASON · 8 OUT · 1 GAME-TIME DECISION
- Out for seasonCJ Christian · S
- OutJordan Washington · RB
- OutChristian Moss · WR
- OutXe'ree Alexander · LB
- OutJayden Limar · RB
- OutKai McClendon · DL
- OutQuaid Carr · RB
- OutAnsu Sanoe · RB
- OutJack Shaffer · OL
- Game-time decisionDemond Williams Jr. · QB
Week 7 game-day report4 OUT FOR SEASON · 4 OUT
- Out for seasonLarry Miles · WR
- Out for seasonKahmir Prescott · CB
- Out for seasonJacob Bower · LB
- Out for seasonGabe Moore · DT
- OutJamir Conn · S
- OutRex Guthrie · S
- OutRiley Van Poppel · DT
- OutJase Reynolds · LB
Line movement
| Market · consensusMarket | Open | Now | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread NEB | −9.5 | −9.5 | — |
Total | 48.5 | 48.5 | — |
Moneyline NEB | −360 | −360 | — |
Broadcast
BTNConditions & crew
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