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FINAL · ESPNU · DOYT L. PERRY STADIUM
Kent State
Kent StateKENT283-7 · 2-4 MAC
28
FINAL
BGSU −3.5 COVEROVER 42.5MODEL EDGE HIT
PREGAME WP BGSU 64%POSTGAME WE BGSU 62%

Doyt L. Perry Stadium · 10,254

Bowling Green
Bowling GreenBGSU333-7 · 3-3 MAC
33
Postgame WE
62%
BGSU · 10k sims
Offense EPA / play
+0.06
KENT +0.03
Success rate
36%
KENT 28%
Turnovers
0–0
—
vs model
+5
proj BGSU by 5.7
Plays · pace
130
proj 120 · 27.7s

How often this box score wins

Win probability · full game

BGSU LOW 35% · Q2 6:47 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.1

Plays that decided it

Ranked by |win probability added|
  1. 1Bowling Green

    Novosad 70-yd TD to Amachree

    (10:35) Shotgun #16 A.Novosad pass complete short left to #2 N.Amachree caught at BGSU38, for 70 yards to the KentSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:27, 1ST DOWN #12 T.Kenner kick attempt good (H: #30 R.Kingston, LS: #52 Q.Forsythe)

    Q1 10:35 · 3rd & 7 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +7.7 EPA
    Q1 10:35 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +7.7 EPA
    +.21
  2. 2Kent State

    DeShields 13-yd pass to Mulder

    (01:25) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #89 T.Mulder caught at BGSU35, for 13 yards to the BGSU35 (#8 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWN

    Q4 1:25 · 4th & 10 BGSU 48 · +2.8 EPA
    Q4 1:25 · 4th & 10 BGSU 48 · +2.8 EPA
    −.20
  3. 3Bowling Green

    Amachree rush left for 48 yards gain to the KentSt00 TOUCHDOWN clock 01:51 1ST DOWN A.Novosad 2-pt run fails

    (01:58) Shotgun #2 N.Amachree rush left for 48 yards gain to the KentSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51, 1ST DOWN #16 A.Novosad rush attempt failed

    Q4 1:58 · 1st & 10 · 27–28 → 33–28 · +5.1 EPA
    Q4 1:58 · 27–28 → 33–28 · +5.1 EPA
    +.19
  4. 4Kent State

    DeShields 25-yd TD run

    (02:00) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 25 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:00, 1ST DOWN #49 T.Newcomb kick attempt good (H: #97 J.Stoeckel, LS: #41 G.Goodell)

    Q4 2:00 · 2nd & 10 · 27–21 → 27–28 · +3.8 EPA
    Q4 2:00 · 27–21 → 27–28 · +3.8 EPA
    −.14
  5. 5Bowling Green

    Novosad 23-yd TD to Jacon-Duffy

    (03:03) Shotgun #16 A.Novosad pass complete short right to #8 E.Jacon-Duffy caught at KentSt21, for 23 yards to the KentSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:45, 1ST DOWN #12 T.Kenner kick attempt good (H: #30 R.Kingston, LS: #52 Q.Forsythe)

    Q2 3:03 · 2nd & 4 · 7–14 → 14–14 · +3.3 EPA
    Q2 3:03 · 7–14 → 14–14 · +3.3 EPA
    +.13

Player EPA

Total · game
Full box scoreAll 130 plays