Buffalo vs Ball State

BuffaloBUFF287-3 · 5-1 MAC

FINAL

BUFF −1.5 COVERUNDER 52.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP BUFF 46%POSTGAME WE BUFF 90%

Scheumann Stadium · 6,745

Ball StateBALL73-7 · 2-4 MAC

How often this box score wins

Win probability · full game

BUFF LOW 23% · Q2 10:39 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 4.9

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
punt blocked by L. Collins
punt blocked by L. Collins (B. Boehm KICK)
Q1 1:47 · 4th & 19 · 0–0 → 0–7 · −5.8 BUFF EPA
Q1 1:47 · 0–0 → 0–7 · −5.8 BUFF EPA
−.22
2
Wright 14-yd TD to Morrow
(04:07) Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #6 C.Morrow caught at BSU00, for 14 yards to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:04, 1ST DOWN #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever)
Q2 4:07 · 3rd & 6 · 0–7 → 7–7 · +3.4 EPA
Q2 4:07 · 0–7 → 7–7 · +3.4 EPA
+.16
3
Thompson run, −1
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the UB22 (#6 M.Greer; #15 S.Vessah), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q4 10:04 · 4th & 1 BUFF 21 · −3.9 BALL EPA
Q4 10:04 · 4th & 1 BUFF 21 · −3.9 BALL EPA
+.14
4
Luster 11-yd pass to Hamilton
(02:43) Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short middle to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BSU37, for 11 yards to the BSU39 (#5 M.Crawford), 1ST DOWN
Q2 2:43 · 3rd & 6 BALL 28 · +2.0 EPA
Q2 2:43 · 3rd & 6 BALL 28 · +2.0 EPA
−.14
5
Boehm 47-yd FG no good
(05:02) #38 B.Boehm field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 05:00, End Of Play
Q1 5:02 · 4th & 5 BUFF 30 · −2.3 BALL EPA
Q1 5:02 · 4th & 5 BUFF 30 · −2.3 BALL EPA
+.11

Total · game