



RB · #4 · RS-SR · 5′9″ · 190 LBRB · BUFFALO · #4 · RS-SR · 5′9″ · 190 LB
Messiah Burch
Buffalo Bulls · MAC · OC Tony Tokarz
- Hometown
- Staten Island, NY
- High school
- Monsignor Farrell
- Class
- Senior
YDS
66994th pctl · 14th of 233
TD
238th pctl · 144th of 233
YPC
5.673rd pctl · 64th of 233
EPA / rush
+0.0852nd pctl · 113th of 233
Game log
7 GAMES · 119 CARRIES2026 · 7 GAMES · 119 CARRIES · EPA RAW
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | Car | Yds | TD | Tgt | EPA/Car | Rec yds | SR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W21–17 | −18.5 | 8 | 74 | 0 | 1 | −0.07 | 0 | 63% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | L20–33 | +9 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 2 | −0.23 | 6 | 9% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | L13–55 | +40 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | −0.30 | 3 | 0% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | W31–28 | −28 | 26 | 146 | 0 | 2 | +0.17 | 9 | 38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | L17–20 | +13.5 | 23 | 106 | 1 | 0 | +0.12 | -5 | 48% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | W23–8 | +18.5 | 17 | 137 | 1 | 2 | +0.18 | 0 | 29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | W25–18 | −6.5 | 28 | 172 | 0 | 1 | +0.13 | 0 | 39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Splits
SEASON EPA/CAR +0.08SEASON · 119 CARRIES · SEASON EPA/CAR +0.08
Split | CAR | Share | EPA/Car | vs Sznvs season | SR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| passing downs2ND & 8+ · 3RD/4TH & 5+2ND & 8+ · 3RD/4TH & 5+ | 24 | 20% | +0.20 | +0.13 | 29% | |
| red zoneINSIDE THE 20 · 21 CARINSIDE THE 20 | 21 | 18% | −0.22 | −0.30 | 24% | |
| standard downsNOT PASSING DOWNSNOT PASSING DOWNS | 95 | 80% | +0.04 | −0.03 | 38% | |
| 3rd & long7+ YDS TO GO · 2 CAR7+ YDS TO GO | 2 | 2% | +0.81 | +0.74 | 0% |
SEASON · 119 CARRIES
Percentiles
VS 233 QUALIFIED RBS
Stat | Value | Pctl | VS RBS | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YDS | 669 | 94 | 94 | |
| TD | 2 | 38 | 38 | |
| YPC | 5.6 | 73 | 73 | |
| EPA/rush | +0.08 | 52 | 52 | |
| Rush SR | 36% | 12 | 12 | |
| Explosive % | 6.7% | 25 | 25 | |
| Stuffed % | 11.8% | 73 | 73 | |
| TGT | 11 | 62 | 62 |
STUFFED: LOWER IS BETTER
Next game
WEEK 8 · UB STADIUM
vs Bowling Green
SAT 3:30 PM · ESPN+ · AMHERST
model −4.6
Win prob61%
Availability
WK 7 REPORT · SAT 12:00 PM
Injury reportA
Carry share119 OF 27144%
Last game · Wk 7 vs Massachusetts
28–172CAR–YDS · 0 TD
Season · 7 games
- CARRIES
- 118
- RUSH YDS
- 661
- RUSH TD
- 2
- REC
- 6
- REC YDS
- 13
- REC TD
- 0

