Glass Bowl · 19,137
- Postgame WE
- 89%
- TOL · 10k sims
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.08
- MASS −0.59
- Success rate
- 37%
- MASS 29%
- Turnovers
- 0–1
- ≈ 9.7 pts swing
- vs model
- +24
- proj TOL by 14.2
- Plays · pace
- 124
- proj 129 · 29.0s
How often this box score wins
Win probability · full game
TOL LOW 80% · Q1 7:51 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.9Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|- 1
Zock sacks Watson, −9
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Watson III sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UMASS35 (#0 A.Zock)
+.06 - 2
Richter incomplete to Crosby, turnover on downs
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep left to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to UMASS00, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
−.05 - 3
Thompson 62-yd pick-six off Inagawa
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Inagawa pass intercepted by #22 N.Thompson at TOLEDO38 QB hurried by #0 A.Zock #22 N.Thompson return 62 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:32 #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)
+.04 - 4
Watson 9-yd pass to Dowling
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMASS37, for 9 yards to the UMASS44 (#22 N.Thompson)
−.04 - 5
Chop Block on UMASS
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Dia-Johnson rush right for 2 yards gain to the UMASS37 (#23 I.Petite) PENALTY UMASS Chop Block (#64 P.Miller) 15 yards from UMASS35 to UMASS20. NO PLAY
+.04