Massachusetts vs Toledo

MassachusettsMASS05-5 · 2-4 MAC

FINAL

TOL −14 COVERUNDER 52.5MODEL EDGE HIT

PREGAME WP TOL 81%POSTGAME WE TOL 89%

Glass Bowl · 19,137

ToledoTOL248-2 · 5-1 MAC

How often this box score wins

Win probability · full game

TOL LOW 80% · Q1 7:51 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 2.9

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Zock sacks Watson, −9
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Watson III sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UMASS35 (#0 A.Zock)
Q1 14:26 · 2nd & 1 MASS 44 · −3.3 MASS EPA
Q1 14:26 · 2nd & 1 MASS 44 · −3.3 MASS EPA
+.06
2
Richter incomplete to Crosby, turnover on downs
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep left to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to UMASS00, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Q1 9:52 · 4th & 1 MASS 28 · turnover on downs · −3.9 TOL EPA
Q1 9:52 · 4th & 1 MASS 28 · −3.9 TOL EPA
−.05
3
Thompson 62-yd pick-six off Inagawa
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Inagawa pass intercepted by #22 N.Thompson at TOLEDO38 QB hurried by #0 A.Zock #22 N.Thompson return 62 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:32 #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)
Q2 10:44 · 1st & 20 · 10–0 → 17–0 · −9.7 MASS EPA
Q2 10:44 · 10–0 → 17–0 · −9.7 MASS EPA
+.04
4
Watson 9-yd pass to Dowling
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short right to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMASS37, for 9 yards to the UMASS44 (#22 N.Thompson)
Q1 14:57 · 1st & 10 MASS 35 · +1.3 EPA
Q1 14:57 · 1st & 10 MASS 35 · +1.3 EPA
−.04
5
Chop Block on UMASS
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Dia-Johnson rush right for 2 yards gain to the UMASS37 (#23 I.Petite) PENALTY UMASS Chop Block (#64 P.Miller) 15 yards from UMASS35 to UMASS20. NO PLAY
Q1 9:08 · 2nd & 3 MASS 35 · −2.7 MASS EPA
Q1 9:08 · 2nd & 3 MASS 35 · −2.7 MASS EPA
+.04

Total · game