

Raymond James Stadium


- Postgame WE
- 70%
- MEM · 10k sims
- Offense EPA / play
- +0.44
- USF +0.13
- Success rate
- 47%
- USF 44%
- Turnovers
- 0–1
- ≈ 4.8 pts swing
- vs model
- +11
- proj MEM by 1.0
- Plays · pace
- 157
- proj 128 · 22.9s
How often this box score wins
Win probability · full game
MEM LOW 29% · Q4 7:58 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 7.9Plays that decided it
Ranked by |win probability added|- 1


Stokes 76-yd TD to Davis
Jemyri Davis 76 Yd pass from Marcus Stokes (Philippe Laforge Kick)
+.45 - 2


Stokes incomplete to Tipton, turnover on downs
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete short middle to #0 H.Tipton thrown to USF25 QB hurried by #0 G.Howard, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
−.24 - 3


Kromenhoek 23-yd TD run
(01:48) Shotgun #17 L.Kromenhoek rush middle for 23 yards gain to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:42, 1ST DOWN #7 N.Gramatica kick attempt good (H: #39 L.Goater, LS: #49 E.Bonnett)
−.17 - 4


Kromenhoek incomplete to Rodgers, turnover on downs
(03:42) Shotgun #17 L.Kromenhoek pass incomplete short right to #1 B.Rodgers thrown to MEM00, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+.16 - 5


Kromenhoek 44-yd pass to Reuben
(06:21) Shotgun #17 L.Kromenhoek pass complete short middle to #6 M.Reuben caught at USF45, for 44 yards to the MEM25 (#12 B.Mwamba), 1ST DOWN
−.15
Player EPA
Total · game
Marcus Stokes · QB+20.415/31 · 313 YDS · 3 TD · 73 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 1 SACK

Jemyri Davis · WR+12.65 REC · 161 YDS · 1 TD

Luke Kromenhoek · QB+12.022/37 · 271 YDS · 3 TD · 146 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 7 SACKS

Jason Collins Jr. · RB+7.312 CAR · 108 YDS · 1 TD · 3 REC · 65 REC YDS · 1 REC TD

Bryson Rodgers · WR−5.46 REC · 49 YDS · 1 ATT
Play-by-play
Box score
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 581 | 552 |
| Plays | 68 | 90 |
| Yards / play | 8.5 | 6.1 |
| EPA / play | +0.44 | +0.13 |
| Success rate | 47% | 44% |
| Explosive plays | 17 | 17 |
| Havoc rate | 19% | 18% |
| 3rd down | 6–13 | 5–17 |
| Pts / opportunity | 4.09 | 3.15 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 22:25 | 37:35 |
| Postgame WE | 70% | 30% |

