6-3 · 4-2 Big Ten · ATS 4-4-1
Illinois
6-3
Kickoff in11:53:50
9:00 PM ET · FOX · Rose Bowl
#4 · 9-0 · 6-0 Big Ten · ATS 9-0
UCLA
#4 · 9-0
9:00 PM ET · FOX · Rose Bowl
64° · 10 mph SSW · 60% rain
- Spread
- UCLA −10UCLA −10
- ▲ 1 · MON 11:11A▲ 1 · MON 11:11A
- Total
- 47.547.5
- Model 55.9Model 55.9
- Model lineModel
- UCLA −14.1−14.1
- Model total 55.9UCLAModel edge 4.1 pts on UCLA vs the consensus now
- Win probability
- 80%80%
- was 80 · weekly runwas 80 · weekly run
- At kickoff
- 64°64°
- 10 mph SSW · 60% rain10 mph SSW · 60% rain
- Projected plays
- 127127
- FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches- 01
UCLA's passing game vs the Illinois pass defense
UCLA gains +0.16 EPA a play on the pass (47th); Illinois allows +0.23 (126th). About 27 such plays projected.
UCLA +7.5Model impact - 02
UCLA's run game vs the Illinois run defense
UCLA gains +0.16 EPA a play on the run (22nd); Illinois allows +0.11 (90th). About 37 such plays projected.
UCLA +6.6Model impact - 03
The UCLA pass defense vs Illinois's passing game
Illinois gains +0.20 EPA a play on the pass (34th); UCLA allows −0.09 (7th). About 34 such plays projected.
UCLA +4.7Model impact
Late news
Auto-updatingJohn probable
ILL DL · Q → P
Platt ruled out
ILL WR · D → OUT
Holmes probable
ILL DL · Q → P
ILL availability report
Update 2 · conf:bigten
UCLA availability report
Update 2 · conf:bigten
Total down to 47.5
LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 48.5 → 47.5 · 21 books
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