#15 · 7-2 · 4-2 Big Ten · ATS 3-6
USC
#15 · 7-2
Kickoff in1:33:17
3:30 PM ET · CBS · Memorial Stadium
#6 · 8-1 · 5-1 Big Ten · ATS 1-8
Indiana
#6 · 8-1
3:30 PM ET · CBS · Memorial Stadium
48° · 7 mph NW · 1% rain
- Spread
- IU −9IU −9
- ▲ 1 · FRI 3:15P▲ 1 · FRI 3:15P
- Total
- 51.551.5
- Model 57.1Model 57.1
- Model lineModel
- IU −8−8
- Model total 57.1IUModel edge 1.0 pts on USC vs the consensus now
- Win probability
- 69%69%
- was 69 · injury newswas 69 · injury news
- At kickoff
- 48°48°
- 7 mph NW · 1% rain7 mph NW · 1% rain
- Projected plays
- 127127
- FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches- 01
Indiana's passing game vs the USC pass defense
Indiana gains +0.23 EPA a play on the pass (19th); USC allows +0.14 (93rd). About 31 such plays projected.
IU +7.8Model impact - 02
USC's passing game vs the Indiana pass defense
USC gains +0.36 EPA a play on the pass (3rd); Indiana allows −0.05 (13th). About 34 such plays projected.
USC +5.7Model impact - 03
The Indiana run defense vs USC's run game
USC gains +0.06 EPA a play on the run (76th); Indiana allows −0.04 (11th). About 29 such plays projected.
IU +5.3Model impact
Late news
Auto-updatingMatthews game time decision
USC TE · Q → GTD · IU −9.5 → −9
Harris cleared to play
IU DB · P → AVAILABLE · IU −9.5 → −9
Hardy ruled out
IU LB · Q → OUT · IU −9.5 → −9
USC availability report
Game Day · conf:bigten
IU availability report
Game Day · conf:bigten
Total up to 51.5
LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 50 → 51.5 · 21 books
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