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PREGAME · ABC · TIGER STADIUM

#8 · 7-2 · 4-2 SEC · ATS 4-5

Texas

#8 · 7-2

Kickoff in34:23:51

7:30 PM ET · ABC · Tiger Stadium

#24 · 6-3 · 3-3 SEC · ATS 4-5

LSU

#24 · 6-3

7:30 PM ET · ABC · Tiger Stadium

58° · 5 mph ENE · 0% rain

Spread
LSU −4LSU −4
▲ 1 · THU 8:07A▲ 1 · THU 8:07A
Total
46.546.5
Model 43.7Model 43.7
Model lineModel
LSU −5.5−5.5
Model total 43.7LSUModel edge 1.5 pts on LSU vs the consensus now
Win probability
63%63%
was 63 · weekly runwas 63 · weekly run
At kickoff
58°58°
5 mph ENE · 0% rain5 mph ENE · 0% rain
Projected plays
145145
FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. 01

    The LSU pass defense vs Texas's passing game

    Texas gains +0.11 EPA a play on the pass (61st); LSU allows −0.09 (5th). About 36 such plays projected.

    LSU +9.8Model impact
  2. 02

    The LSU run defense vs Texas's run game

    Texas gains +0.05 EPA a play on the run (83rd); LSU allows −0.08 (5th). About 37 such plays projected.

    LSU +8.9Model impact
  3. 03

    The Texas run defense vs LSU's run game

    LSU gains +0.10 EPA a play on the run (51st); Texas allows −0.06 (7th). About 34 such plays projected.

    TEX +5.4Model impact

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Hutson questionable

    TEX OL · AVAILABLE → Q

  2. Kanu probable

    TEX DL · Q → P

  3. Reliford cleared to play

    LSU EDGE · P → AVAILABLE

  4. TEX availability report

    Update 1 · conf:sec

  5. LSU availability report

    Update 1 · conf:sec

  6. Spread to LSU −4.5

    LINE MOVE · SPREAD · LSU −3.5 → −4.5 · 12 books

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