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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

American · 4-2 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1

Florida Atlantic Owls

HC Zach Kittley (2nd yr) · OC — · DC Brett Dewhurst

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−2.889th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

American · 4-2 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1

Florida Atlantic

Owls · HC Zach Kittley (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 5) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−2.889th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Florida Atlantic

4-2 · 1-1 American

POWER RATING−2.889th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

FLORIDA ATLANTIC · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Florida Atlantic schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Floridaat FloridaL21–66+26.5+26.5L−0.7339%57%1%9018.7
2NavyNavyW38–30+4.5+4.5W+0.4248%32%66%7426.9
3Florida InternationalFlorida InternationalW16–10−5.5−5.5W+0.0739%35%68%6723.8
4at UL Monroeat UL MonroeW45–17−11.5−11.5W+0.1951%32%92%8721.1
5Texas SouthernTexas SouthernW66–10−46−46W+0.9871%34%99%5329.0
6BYE
7at Armyat ArmyL24–56+2.5+2.5L−0.2360%59%5%7821.6
8RiceRiceNEXTSAT 12:00 ESPNUSAT 12:00−8−8————78%137—
9at North Texasat North TexasOCT 29OCT 29+13.3 proj+13.321%
10UTSAUTSANOV 5NOV 5+0.2 proj+0.250%
11at Tulsaat TulsaNOV 14NOV 14+4.8 proj+4.839%
12South FloridaSouth FloridaNOV 21NOV 21+3.3 proj+3.342%
13at East Carolinaat East CarolinaNOV 27NOV 27+5 proj+538%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 3100%n 148%n 12027%n 11
2nd53%n 1529%n 2447%n 3841%n 22
3rd76%n 2967%n 1545%n 110%n 11
4th57%n 725%n 4100%n 1—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 308 OF 312 PLAYS308 OF 312 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%57%+0.2047%
No-huddle100%100%57%+0.1847%
Huddle0%0%0%+4.16100%
StartersSTARTERS
113 of 5 games011 of 5BASE D4-2-53 of 6
113 of 54-2-5base D · 3 of 6

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 57 % of the time. No-huddle on 100 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 5 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (3 of 6).

Next game

SAT 12:00 ESPNU · FAU STADIUMSAT 12:00 ESPNU

vs RiceLINE−8MODEL−12.7WP78%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
American crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 35 games−0.1−0.5 to +0.435NOISE
C-USA crews−0.7 to +0.5 · 11 games−0.1−0.7 to +0.511NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 3 games+0.2—3NOISE
MAC crews— · 2 games+0.8—2NOISE
ACC crews— · 1 game+2.2—1NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game+2.1—1NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 1 game−1.5—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTTim Rich−1.4 / g · 4 games · noise−1.4 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTMatt Overton+2.0 / g · 4 games · noise+2.0 / g · 4 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Florida Atlantic than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Florida Atlantic than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Florida Atlantic offense statistics
MetricStat
Florida AtlanticFAU
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.1242nd+0.06
Success rate44.8%37th42.3%
Explosiveness1.2971st1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0953rd+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1644th+0.11
Passing downs SR35.5%11th31.1%
Line yards3.2073rd3.21
Sack rate allowed3.9%42nd5.3%
3rd-down conversion56%5th41%
Points / opportunity4.8339th4.27
Red zone TD rate71%36th63%
Seconds / play22.02nd28.0