American · 4-2 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1
Florida Atlantic Owls
HC Zach Kittley (2nd yr) · OC — · DC Brett Dewhurst
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating−2.889th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
American · 4-2 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1
Florida Atlantic
Owls · HC Zach Kittley (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 5) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−2.889th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Florida Atlantic
4-2 · 1-1 American
POWER RATING−2.889th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U4-2 · 5-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG55%3.3 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0380th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Floridaat Florida | L21–66 | +26.5+26.5 | L | −0.73 | 39% | 57% | 1% | O 59.5 | — | |
EPA −0.73 · SR 39% · O 59.5WE 1% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   NavyNavy | W38–30 | +4.5+4.5 | W | +0.42 | 48% | 32% | 66% | O 59.5 | — | |
EPA +0.42 · SR 48% · O 59.5WE 66% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Florida InternationalFlorida International | W16–10 | −5.5−5.5 | W | +0.07 | 39% | 35% | 68% | U 62.5 | — | |
EPA +0.07 · SR 39% · U 62.5WE 68% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at UL Monroeat UL Monroe | W45–17 | −11.5−11.5 | W | +0.19 | 51% | 32% | 92% | O 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.19 · SR 51% · O 58.5WE 92% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Texas SouthernTexas Southern | W66–10 | −46−46 | W | +0.98 | 71% | 34% | 99% | O 62 | — | |
EPA +0.98 · SR 71% · O 62WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at Armyat Army | L24–56 | +2.5+2.5 | L | −0.23 | 60% | 59% | 5% | O 55.5 | — | |
EPA −0.23 · SR 60% · O 55.5WE 5% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   RiceRiceNEXT | SAT 12:00 ESPNUSAT 12:00 | −8−8 | — | — | — | — | 78% | 53.5 | −12.7 | |
MODEL −12.7 · TOTAL 53.5WP 78% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at North Texasat North Texas | OCT 29OCT 29 | —+13.3 | 21% | +13.3 | ||||||
MODEL +13.3WP 21% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   UTSAUTSA | NOV 5NOV 5 | —+0.2 | 50% | +0.2 | ||||||
MODEL +0.2WP 50% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Tulsaat Tulsa | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+4.8 | 39% | +4.8 | ||||||
MODEL +4.8WP 39% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   South FloridaSouth Florida | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+3.3 | 42% | +3.3 | ||||||
MODEL +3.3WP 42% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at East Carolinaat East Carolina | NOV 27NOV 27 | —+5 | 38% | +5 | ||||||
MODEL +5WP 38% | |||||||||||