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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

MAC · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3

Kent State Golden Flashes

HC Mark Carney (2nd yr) · OC Clay Patterson · DC Cherokee Valeria

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 98%

Power rating−12.4129th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.6of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

MAC · 2-5 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3

Kent State

Golden Flashes · HC Mark Carney (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-3-4

Power rating−12.4129th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.6of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored

Kent State

2-5 · 1-2 MAC

POWER RATING−12.4129th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored

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KENT STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Kent State schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at South Carolinaat South CarolinaL0–57+36+36L−0.8628%66%0%4829.3
2WoffordWoffordW36–15−10.5−10.5W+0.7041%30%87%7033.9
3at Ohio Stateat Ohio StateL3–59+52.5+52.5L−0.9414%66%0%5518.8
4Ball StateBall StateW26–13−2.5−2.5W+0.3535%26%75%6629.3
5OhioOhioL10–13+3.5+3.5W+0.1641%44%42%6630.7
6at Western Michiganat Western MichiganL7–38+13.5+13.5L−0.4533%49%4%6827.7
7at South Floridaat South FloridaL2–29+20.5+20.5L−0.5236%51%7%6727.8
8AkronAkronNEXTSAT 1:00 ESPN+SAT 1:00−3−3————65%127—
9at Sacramento Stateat Sacramento StateOCT 30OCT 30−6.4 proj−6.465%
10BYE
11at Bowling Greenat Bowling GreenNOV 10NOV 10+2.2 proj+2.245%
12Miami (OH)Miami (OH)NOV 17NOV 17+6 proj+636%
13at Eastern Michiganat Eastern MichiganNOV 24NOV 24+0.1 proj+0.150%

Success rate by down & distance

1st50%n 250%n 234%n 13310%n 10
2nd38%n 1352%n 2335%n 6310%n 21
3rd65%n 2325%n 1636%n 2823%n 22
4th60%n 540%n 5—n 050%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 368 OF 368 PLAYS368 OF 368 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun98%98%50%−0.0236%
Under center2%2%33%−2.6611%
No-huddle71%71%47%+0.0639%
Huddle29%29%57%−0.4326%
StartersSTARTERS
115 of 6 games121 of 6BASE D4-3-46 of 6
115 of 64-3-4base D · 6 of 6

In shotgun on 98 % of tagged snaps, passing 50 % of the time (−0.02 EPA a play; −2.66 under center). No-huddle on 71 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 6 games. Base defense 4-3-4 (6 of 6).

Next game

SAT 1:00 ESPN+ · DIX STADIUMSAT 1:00 ESPN+

vs AkronLINE−3MODEL−6.2WP65%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
MAC crews−0.4 to +0.5 · 39 games+0.1−0.4 to +0.539NOISE
SEC crews— · 5 games−1.6—5NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games+1.3—2NOISE
American crews— · 2 games−1.2—2NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 2 games−0.5—2NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 2 games−0.3—2NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 1 game+2.5—1NOISE
Pac-12 crews— · 1 game+2.0—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTRick Warne−1.2 / g · 3 games · noise−1.2 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTBilly Williams+2.5 / g · 5 games · noise+2.5 / g · 5 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Kent State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Kent State than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Kent State offense statistics
MetricStat
Kent StateKENT
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.11132nd+0.06
Success rate34.9%135th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3064th1.30
Rush EPA / play−0.05129th+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.01116th+0.11
Passing downs SR28.7%112th31.1%
Line yards2.65130th3.21
Sack rate allowed4.9%66th5.3%
3rd-down conversion39%75th41%
Points / opportunity2.38137th4.27
Red zone TD rate53%112th63%
Seconds / play30.5115th28.0