ACC · 4-3 · 3-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 6-1
Louisville Cardinals
HC Jeff Brohm (4th yr) · OC Brian Brohm · DC —
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 87%
Power rating8.722nd
CFP odds1%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
ACC · 4-3 · 3-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 6-1
Louisville
Cardinals · HC Jeff Brohm (4th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating8.722nd
CFP odds · outlook1%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.3of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Louisville
4-3 · 3-2 ACC
POWER RATING8.722nd in FBS
CFP ODDS1%no change
PROJ. WINS7.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
3 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 5% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD4-3
ATS · O/U4-3 · 6-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG66%4.6 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1524th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   vs Ole Miss · Nashvillevs Ole Miss | L38–41 | +6.5+6.5 | W | −0.09 | 44% | 45% | 43% | O 55 | — | |
EPA −0.09 · SR 44% · O 55WE 43% | |||||||||||
| 2 |  VillanovaVillanova | W59–13 | −39−39 | W | +0.66 | 66% | 29% | 100% | O 57 | — | |
EPA +0.66 · SR 66% · O 57WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   SMUSMU | W41–31 | −3−3 | W | +0.30 | 52% | 43% | 74% | O 57.5 | — | |
EPA +0.30 · SR 52% · O 57.5WE 74% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Wake ForestWake Forest | L27–30 | −11.5−11.5 | L | −0.02 | 42% | 43% | 44% | U 57.5 | — | |
EPA −0.02 · SR 42% · U 57.5WE 44% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at NC Stateat NC State | L28–31 | −4.5−4.5 | L | −0.12 | 45% | 40% | 45% | O 57 | — | |
EPA −0.12 · SR 45% · O 57WE 45% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   Florida StateFlorida State | W44–20 | −4−4 | W | +0.48 | 57% | 45% | 91% | O 60.5 | — | |
EPA +0.48 · SR 57% · O 60.5WE 91% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Syracuseat Syracuse | W34–26 | −14.5−14.5 | L | +0.22 | 44% | 45% | 64% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.22 · SR 44% · O 56.5WE 64% | |||||||||||
| 8 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 9 |   StanfordStanfordNEXT | SAT 3:15 ACC NetworkSAT 3:15 | —−21.1 | — | — | — | — | 90% | — | −21.1 | |
MODEL −21.1WP 90% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Georgia Techat Georgia Tech | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−9.7 | 72% | −9.7 | ||||||
MODEL −9.7WP 72% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at North Carolinaat North Carolina | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−3.2 | 58% | −3.2 | ||||||
MODEL −3.2WP 58% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   PittsburghPittsburgh | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−5 | 62% | −5 | ||||||
MODEL −5WP 62% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Kentuckyat Kentucky | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−0.9 | 52% | −0.9 | ||||||
MODEL −0.9WP 52% | |||||||||||