reportedWV MetroNews Marshall Sports@MetroNews Staff
9hUnconfirmed tip on Turner’s status against Old Dominion on Saturday.
Zion Turner · QBCHECKING
Sun Belt · 4-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 3-4
Marshall Thundering Herd
HC Tony Gibson (2nd yr) · OC Rod Smith · DC Brad Lambert
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating−8.3115th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.1of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Sun Belt · 4-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 3-4
Marshall
Thundering Herd · HC Tony Gibson (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−8.3115th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.1of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Marshall
4-3 · 1-2 Sun Belt
POWER RATING−8.3115th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
Latest from the beat
MARSHALL · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Penn Stateat Penn State | L0–45 | +23.5+23.5 | L | −0.79 | 29% | 50% | 0% | 54 | 27.0 | |
| 2 |   Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee | W28–26 | −12.5−12.5 | L | +0.03 | 45% | 43% | 52% | 58 | 29.6 | |
| 3 |   at Missouri Stateat Missouri State | W30–24 | −4−4 | W | −0.14 | 52% | 55% | 66% | 67 | 31.6 | |
| 4 |   Gardner-WebbGardner-Webb | W36–35 | −25−25 | L | −0.08 | 43% | 38% | 56% | 74 | 27.5 | |
| 5 |   at James Madisonat James Madison | L17–45 | +16.5+16.5 | L | −0.41 | 46% | 53% | 9% | 81 | 29.0 | |
| 6 |   Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina | L21–27 | −4.5−4.5 | L | −0.02 | 46% | 30% | 48% | 78 | 24.8 | |
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   South AlabamaSouth Alabama | W20–13 | +1.5+1.5 | W | +0.25 | 49% | 36% | 77% | 65 | 25.0 | |
| 9 |   at Old Dominionat Old DominionNEXT | SAT 1:00 ESPN+SAT 1:00 | +3.7 proj+3.7 | — | — | — | — | 41% | — | — | |
| 10 |   at Georgia Southernat Georgia Southern | NOV 7NOV 7 | +11.1 proj+11.1 | 25% | |||||||
| 11 |   App StateApp State | NOV 14NOV 14 | +4.3 proj+4.3 | 40% | |||||||
| 12 |   Georgia StateGeorgia State | NOV 21NOV 21 | +3.6 proj+3.6 | 41% | |||||||
| 13 |   at UL Monroeat UL Monroe | NOV 28NOV 28 | −5 proj−5 | 62% |
Success rate by down & distance
1st50%n 4100%n 546%n 1900%n 8
2nd62%n 2654%n 4642%n 6222%n 23
3rd95%n 1944%n 1628%n 3216%n 19
4th67%n 30%n 10%n 1100%n 1
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 454 OF 456 PLAYS454 OF 456 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun100% | 100% | 53% | +0.06 | 45% |
| No-huddle81% | 81% | 55% | +0.01 | 43% |
| Huddle19% | 19% | 43% | +0.28 | 55% |
StartersSTARTERS
116 of 6 gamesBASE D4-2-56 of 6
116 of 64-2-5base D · 6 of 6
In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 53 % of the time. No-huddle on 81 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (6 of 6).
Next game
SAT 1:00 ESPN+ · S.B. BALLARD STADIUMSAT 1:00 ESPN+
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Belt crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 47 games | 0.0 | −0.4 to +0.4 | 47 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | −1.0 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 2 games | −0.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | −1.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 2 games | +2.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −1.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTMarshall Lewis−1.6 / g · 6 games · noise−1.6 / g · 6 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTTim Barker+1.4 / g · 4 games · noise+1.4 / g · 4 g · noise
+ = more judgment flags on Marshall than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Marshall than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
QB · #7 · RS-SRCarlos Del Rio-Wilson+0.06EPA/dropback · 99thCPOE+2.2aDOT8.2Sack %4.1%RB · #6 · RS-SRJo'Shon Barbie45.8%rush SR · 96thYards per carry4.8Explosive rate4.2%Rush EPA+0.04TE · #81 · RS-SRToby Payne1.08YPTPA · 291stTarget share18.1%EPA / target+0.06aDOT7.1DL · #58 · RS-JRBraydin Ward8havoc plays · 32ndTFL6Sacks1Forced fumbles1
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | MarshallMRSH | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.01 | 101st | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 42.0% | 67th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.23 | 118th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.08 | 60th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.03 | 109th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 29.7% | 97th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.49 | 27th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.0% | 72nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44% | 42nd | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.64 | 111th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 54% | 109th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 27.6 | 57th | 28.0 |