Mountain West · 5-1 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 3-3
New Mexico Lobos
HC Jason Eck (2nd yr) · OC Luke Schleusner · DC Spence Nowinsky
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (2 OF 3) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 95%
Power rating6.631st
CFP odds25%+1
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.4of 12
Fan pulse—5 of 30 scored
Mountain West · 5-1 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 3-3
New Mexico
Lobos · HC Jason Eck (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (2 of 3) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.631st
CFP odds · outlook25%+1NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.4of 12
Fan pulse—5 of 30 scored
New Mexico
5-1 · 2-0 Mountain West
POWER RATING6.631st in FBS
CFP ODDS25%+1 this week
PROJ. WINS9.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 25% in sims · CCG 65% · title 41%
FAN PULSE—5 of 30 scored
RECORD5-1
ATS · O/U5-1 · 3-3
POSTGAME WE · AVG85%5.1 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1720th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Central MichiganCentral Michigan | W38–7 | −11.5−11.5 | W | +0.80 | 53% | 22% | 100% | U 47.5 | — | |
EPA +0.80 · SR 53% · U 47.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |  MercyhurstMercyhurst | W70–7 | −42.5−42.5 | W | +0.94 | 48% | 25% | 100% | O 54.5 | — | |
EPA +0.94 · SR 48% · O 54.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Oklahomaat Oklahoma | L6–14 | +21.5+21.5 | W | −0.28 | 22% | 38% | 34% | U 45.5 | — | |
EPA −0.28 · SR 22% · U 45.5WE 34% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at New Mexico Stateat New Mexico State | W42–18 | −11.5−11.5 | W | +0.60 | 48% | 27% | 96% | O 47.5 | — | |
EPA +0.60 · SR 48% · O 47.5WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   UTEPUTEP | W61–7 | −23.5−23.5 | W | +0.93 | 61% | 29% | 98% | O 48 | — | |
EPA +0.93 · SR 61% · O 48WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at Hawai'iat Hawai'i | W21–10 | −14.5−14.5 | L | +0.37 | 35% | 36% | 83% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.37 · SR 35% · U 46.5WE 83% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   North Dakota StateNorth Dakota StateNEXT | SAT 10:00 CWSAT 10:00 | −4.5−4.5 | — | — | — | — | 62% | 40.5 | −5.2 | |
MODEL −5.2 · TOTAL 40.5WP 62% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at San José Stateat San José State | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−14.1 | 80% | −14.1 | ||||||
MODEL −14.1WP 80% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Nevadaat Nevada | NOV 6NOV 6 | —−11.2 | 75% | −11.2 | ||||||
MODEL −11.2WP 75% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   UNLVUNLV | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−7.9 | 68% | −7.9 | ||||||
MODEL −7.9WP 68% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Wyomingat Wyoming | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−13.5 | 79% | −13.5 | ||||||
MODEL −13.5WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   Air ForceAir Force | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−8.9 | 71% | −8.9 | ||||||
MODEL −8.9WP 71% | |||||||||||