Mountain West · 5-1 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 3-3
New Mexico Lobos
HC Jason Eck (2nd yr) · OC Luke Schleusner · DC Spence Nowinsky
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (2 OF 3) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 95%
Mountain West · 5-1 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 5-1 · O/U 3-3
New Mexico
Lobos · HC Jason Eck (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (2 of 3) · base D 4-2-5
New Mexico
5-1 · 2-0 Mountain West
1 loss now · CFP 25% in sims · CCG 65% · title 41%
Latest from the beat
NEW MEXICO · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Central MichiganCentral Michigan | W38–7 | −11.5−11.5 | W | +0.80 | 53% | 22% | 100% | 69 | 33.6 | |
| 2 |  MercyhurstMercyhurst | W70–7 | −42.5−42.5 | W | +0.94 | 48% | 25% | 100% | 71 | 31.5 | |
| 3 |   at Oklahomaat Oklahoma | L6–14 | +21.5+21.5 | W | −0.28 | 22% | 38% | 34% | 58 | 36.9 | |
| 4 |   at New Mexico Stateat New Mexico State | W42–18 | −11.5−11.5 | W | +0.60 | 48% | 27% | 96% | 64 | 33.8 | |
| 5 |   UTEPUTEP | W61–7 | −23.5−23.5 | W | +0.93 | 61% | 29% | 98% | 65 | 31.5 | |
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at Hawai'iat Hawai'i | W21–10 | −14.5−14.5 | L | +0.37 | 35% | 36% | 83% | 57 | 32.7 | |
| 8 |   North Dakota StateNorth Dakota StateNEXT | SAT 10:00 CWSAT 10:00 | −4.5−4.5 | — | — | — | — | 62% | 128 | — | |
| 9 |   at San José Stateat San José State | OCT 31OCT 31 | −14.1 proj−14.1 | 80% | |||||||
| 10 |   at Nevadaat Nevada | NOV 6NOV 6 | −11.2 proj−11.2 | 75% | |||||||
| 11 |   UNLVUNLV | NOV 14NOV 14 | −7.9 proj−7.9 | 68% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Wyomingat Wyoming | NOV 21NOV 21 | −13.5 proj−13.5 | 79% | |||||||
| 13 |   Air ForceAir Force | NOV 28NOV 28 | −8.9 proj−8.9 | 71% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 284 OF 291 PLAYS284 OF 291 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun95% | 95% | 38% | +0.11 | 41% |
| Under center5% | 5% | 8% | +0.51 | 54% |
| No-huddle25% | 25% | 34% | +0.25 | 41% |
| Huddle75% | 75% | 38% | +0.09 | 42% |
In shotgun on 95 % of tagged snaps, passing 38 % of the time (+0.11 EPA a play; +0.51 under center). No-huddle on 25 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 2 of 3 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 5).
Next game
SAT 10:00 CW · UNIVERSITY STADIUM (NM)SAT 10:00 CW
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain West crews−0.5 to +0.5 · 26 games | 0.0 | −0.5 to +0.5 | 26 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 3 games | +1.0 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 2 games | −1.3 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | −1.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | −4.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −1.7 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on New Mexico than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on New Mexico than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | New MexicoUNM | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.08 | 56th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 40.8% | 84th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.38 | 13th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.10 | 52nd | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.11 | 70th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.5% | 57th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.34 | 48th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 10.3% | 133rd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43% | 51st | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.31 | 68th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 79% | 10th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 32.2 | 133rd | 28.0 |